The 2nd round of the French Presidential Election took place on the 24th of April, 2022. Emmanuel Macron faced Marine Le Pen in a final run-off for the 26th presidency of France. During the rallies, both candidates promised extensive developments in and improvements in politics, economy, and society. This bought on much contemplation among people globally.

Thus, Real Research launched a survey on the 26th French Presidential Election, seeking public opinions on who is likely to win. Additionally, the survey also touched on the possible weaknesses of the two candidates and more. Here are the results.


  • 54.99% say improved social justice is respondents’ favorite among Macron’s many major promises
  • 50.95% say restoring order in the country to bring opportunities is respondents’ favorite among Le Pen’s many promises
  • 71.35% say Emmanuel Macron is most likely to win the French presidential election

‘Improved Social Justice’ Among Macron’s Many Promises

The survey starts by asking respondents which is a favorite among Macron’s major promises. A majority of 54.99% chose improved social justice, while 15.53% chose inflation relief. Moreover, 6.28% chose production tax cuts for enterprises and the self-employed, whereas, 3.65% chose inheritance tax cuts. A further 3.41% chose tackling school harassment, and 3.34% chose the increase in the retirement age to 65.

Respondents’ favorites among Macron’s promises
Figure 1: Respondents’ favorites among Macron’s promises

In contrast, the survey also asks what respondents believe are Emmanuel Macron’s weaknesses. To this, all 49.20% suggest his political neutrality, while 13.55% suggest his beginning of political rallies later compared to the other candidates.

A further 9.94% feel his refusal to participate in live TV debates may be a weakness. In addition, 9.26% suggest his Islamist bill is a possible weakness, and 7.25% say his focus on issues other than the campaign (eg. the Ukraine war) is a possible weakness. Lastly, 6.21% suggest his arrogance and overconfidence.

‘Restore Order in the Country for Opportunities’ Among La Pen’s Major Promises

Next, the survey asks respondents about Le Pen’s major promises during the election rallies. Here, 50.95% say restoring order in the country to bring opportunities as a favorite. A further 12.55% suggest her referendum to get rid of/modify the French constitution of 27 October 1946.

Respondents’ favorites among Macron’s promises - Respondents Feel Macron Is Likely To Win the French Presidential Elections
Figure 1: Respondents’ favorites among Macron’s promises

Additionally, 9.66% chose the focus to stabilize the cost of living as a favorite. Meanwhile, 9.16% chose her referendum to stop immigration. Lastly, 4.13% chose La Pen’s extensive support for struggling families to cope with energy and food.

Accordingly, the survey asks respondents what Marine La Pen’s possible weaknesses may be. To this, the majority (48.72%) suggest ‘the far-right’ whereas, 14.45% suggest racist remarks as her possible weakness. Moreover, 10.51% suggest the zero-immigration policy, and 5.79% chose her disastrous debate with Macron five years ago.

Additionally, 5.40% reckon her anti-Islam pledges to be a possible weakness. A further 3.54% suggest her corruption allegations, while 3.43% suggest her anti-EU platform. Lastly, 2.33% suggest her fierce competition against Emmanuel as a possible weakness.

Respondents Feel Macron Is Likely To Win the French Presidential Elections

winner of the French presidential elections
winner of the French presidential elections

To conclude, the survey asks respondents who will be elected as president in French election. A majority of the respondents (71.35%) chose Emmanuel Macron, whereas 28.65% feel Marine Le Pen may likely win.


Survey TitleSurvey on the 26th French Presidential Election
DurationApril 19 – April 26, 2022
Number of Participants50,000
DemographicsMales and females, aged 21 to 99
Participating Countries Afghanistan, Algeria, Angola, Argentina, Armenia, Australia, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Belarus, Benin, Bolivia, Brazil, Brunei, Bulgaria, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Cameroon, Canada, Chile, China, China (Hong Kong) China (Macao), China (Taiwan), Colombia, Costa Rica, Croatia, Czech Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Finland, France, Gambia, Georgia, Germany, Ghana, Greece, Greanada, Guatemala, Honduras, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Ivory Coast, Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lebanon, Libya, Lithuania, Malaysia, Maldives, Maluritania, Mexico, Moldova, Mongolia, Morocco, Mozambique, Myanmar [Burma], Namibia, Nepal, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Oman, Pakistan, Palestine, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Singapore, Slovakia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sri Lanka, Tanzania, Thailand, Togo, Tunisia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uganda, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Vietnam, Yemen, Zimbabwe.