Mexico’s electoral authority reported that 61-year-old former Mexico City mayor Claudia Sheinbaum won 58%-60% of the vote in Sunday’s election and will become Mexico’s first female president.

Real Research, an online survey app, revealed that 67% of respondents were aware that Sheinbaum would be Mexico’s first female president, and 33% were unaware.

Highlights:

  • 68% of respondents agree that Mexico’s violent cartels will be among the numerous challenges Sheinbaum will face.
  • 6 out of 10 are optimistic about the future of Mexico under Claudia Sheinbaum’s leadership.
  • Other countries should follow in Mexico’s footsteps and elect more female leaders, said 66%

Claudia Sheinbaum Is Mexico’s First Female President

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, a former energy scientist, promised to continue building on former President Lopez Obrador’s welfare programs and “advances,” which have made him very popular. 

In regards to this, 66% of respondents are optimistic about the future of Mexico under the leadership of Claudia Sheinbaum.

leadership-of-Claudia-Sheinbaum
Figure 1: Are you optimistic about the future of Mexico under the leadership of Claudia Sheinbaum? 

Trade Negotiations Between Mexico and the U.S.

Changes in U.S. policies can wield direct influence over Mexico’s economy and stability, thereby shaping the challenges and successes of its new leadership, given the countries’ close relationship. In this context, 65% of respondents anticipate significant effects from the upcoming U.S. presidential election on trade and immigration negotiations between Mexico and the U.S.

Conversely, 35% of respondents do not foresee the U.S. elections impacting their trade negotiations with Mexico.

Violence Targeting Local Authorities  

In the lead-up to the election, the government reported over 20 fatalities in Mexico, while alternative surveys indicated a total of 7 deaths. Respondents were asked whether they thought the violence aimed at local candidates influenced the election results.

53% of respondents believed the violence had a limited impact on the overall election outcome, 40% believed it significantly affected the election, and 7% believed it had no impact.

Mexico’s Violent Cartels

Addressing Mexico’s violent cartels will be among the numerous challenges confronting Mexico’s first female president. According to the survey, 68% of respondents agree with this assessment, while 32% believe otherwise.

Figure 2: Will violent cartels be among the many challenges Sheinbaum will face as president?
Figure 2: Will violent cartels be among the many challenges Sheinbaum will face as president?

Expectations for Mexico’s First Female President

Political analyst Viri Rios suggested that criticism portraying Sheinbaum as a puppet of the former president stems from sexism, casting doubt on her autonomy and attributing this skepticism largely to her gender.

In light of this, 57% of respondents believe Mexico’s first female president will be a puppet for the former president, while 33% hold a different view.

International Influence

Finally, the survey on Sheinbaum becoming Mexico’s first female leader revealed that 66% of respondents believe other countries should follow in Mexico’s footsteps and elect more female leaders. However, 34% do not believe other countries should follow suit.

Figure 3: Should other countries follow in  Mexico’s footsteps and elect more female leaders?
Figure 3: Should other countries follow in  Mexico’s footsteps and elect more female leaders?

Methodology

 
Survey TitleSurvey on Sheinbaum to be Mexico’s first woman leader
DurationJune 5 – June 14, 2024
Number of Participants5,000
DemographicsMales and females, aged 21 to 99
Participating Countries Afghanistan, Algeria, Angola, Argentina, Armenia, Australia, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Belarus, Benin, Bolivia, Brazil, Brunei, Bulgaria, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Cameroon, Canada, Chile, China, China (Hong Kong) China (Macao), China (Taiwan), Colombia, Costa Rica, Croatia, Czech Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Finland, France, Gambia, Georgia, Germany, Ghana, Greece, Greanada, Guatemala, Honduras, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Ivory Coast, Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lebanon, Libya, Lithuania, Malaysia, Maldives, Maluritania, Mexico, Moldova, Mongolia, Morocco, Mozambique, Myanmar [Burma], Namibia, Nepal, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Oman, Pakistan, Palestine, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Singapore, Slovakia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sri Lanka, Tanzania, Thailand, Togo, Tunisia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uganda, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Vietnam, Yemen, Zimbabwe.