The ongoing tension between Russia and Ukraine has gained the full attention of the world due to possible escalations. Some have deemed it necessary to help put out the fire with calls for peace talks. Meanwhile, others have expressed strong support to one country or the other.

Still, many believe that the reason for the Russia-Ukraine crisis goes far deeper than Ukraine’s goal to join NATO. Pictures of the haunting past are unearthed, causing many to speculate extreme scenarios like global warfare and economic shakeouts. Thus, Real Research — the online survey app, conducted a survey on Russia-Ukraine crisis. Here are the results.

Highlights

  • 43.05% believe that Russia wants to expand its territory.
  • 35.56% are worrying about the increasing volatility in global stock markets.
  • 41.47% say the tension may escalate to a magnitude comparable to World War III.

76.66% Are Aware of the Ukraine-Russia Conflict

More than three-quarters of all survey respondents say they are aware of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine crisis. In addition, 80.42% are aware of Ukraine gaining its independence in 1991.

As for the reason for Russia-Ukraine Conflict, 43.05% believe that the reason for Russia’s aggression is its ambition to expand its territory by invading Ukraine. Adding on, 14.28% believe that Russia’s military advances are an expression of its opposition to the US urging Eastern European countries to join NATO.

 Russian invasion of Ukraine
Figure 1: Reasons for the possible Russian invasion of Ukraine

Some 7.77% interpret the situation as Russia’s energy strategy. Likewise, 5.70% think that Russia will be using Ukraine as leverage so that Western superpowers will lift their sanctions against the former. Finally, 5.65% are convinced that the stand-off is just a consequence of past misunderstandings, including the military scene back in 2014.

31.57% Believe That the US Is Most Responsible for the Ukraine Crisis

Next, the survey began to assess respondents regarding the real culprit behind the Russia-Ukraine crisis. Many respondents (31.57%) believe that the US is the country most responsible for the clash between the two countries. Some of these may inadvertently perceive the US’ involvement in the Ukraine crisis as additional fuel to the fire instead of an extinguisher.

 Russia and Ukraine
Figure 2: Countries responsible for the tension between Russia and Ukraine

Following after, 20.36% maintained that Russia has no other country to blame but itself. Meanwhile, the rest expressed mixed sentiments. Specifically, 8.81% believe that the tension is caused by a lot of countries, 7.69% of respondents pointed the finger at Ukraine, and 6.99% believe NATO is at fault.

Accordingly, the survey asks for possible reasons behind US involvement in Ukraine Crisis. On this, 35.35% believe the US is providing military aid to Ukraine while 21.37% believe it is to keep Russia in check with Ukraine. More so, 9.83% say it is to resolve the crisis diplomatically and 7.37% say ‘to defend democracy’.

31.25% Are Certain That Russia Will Really Invade Ukraine

Almost a third of survey respondents are also certain that Russia’s military display is not a bluff — it will ultimately invade Ukraine. 

Russia to invade Ukraine
Figure 3: The majority are expecting Russia to invade Ukraine

Meanwhile, 17.35% of respondents believe that Russia has a fifty-fifty probability of invading Ukraine, while 16.83% are convinced it has a higher chance of doing so. Only a minority (8.55%) do not think the current Russia-Ukraine crisis will lead to an invasion.

Finally, the survey also inquired about the public opinion regarding what happens if Russia invades Ukraine. 35.56% expressed concern about the economic instability that will occur if the situation exacerbates, while 11.36% fear soaring interest rates. In a similar vein, respondents expect oil prices  (7.63%) and raw materials and grains (7.52%) to surge.

Lastly, respondents reveal their fears about how much the Russia-Ukraine Crisis could escalate. A fearful 41.47% believe World War III is approaching and 26.44% believe Ukraine will see a full-scale invasion. Likewise, 18.34% say high and intense tension only while 13.75% say the battle will be limited to Ukraine and Russia only.  

Methodology

 
Survey TitleThe Impact on the World of the Russia-Ukraine Crisis
DurationFebruary 04 – February 11, 2022
Number of Participants30,000
DemographicsMales and females, aged 21 to 99
Participating Countries Afghanistan, Algeria, Angola, Argentina, Armenia, Australia, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Belarus, Benin, Bolivia, Brazil, Brunei, Bulgaria, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Cameroon, Canada, Chile, China, China (Hong Kong) China (Macao), China (Taiwan), Colombia, Costa Rica, Croatia, Czech Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Finland, France, Gambia, Georgia, Germany, Ghana, Greece, Greanada, Guatemala, Honduras, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Ivory Coast, Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lebanon, Libya, Lithuania, Malaysia, Maldives, Maluritania, Mexico, Moldova, Mongolia, Morocco, Mozambique, Myanmar [Burma], Namibia, Nepal, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Oman, Pakistan, Palestine, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Singapore, Slovakia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sri Lanka, Tanzania, Thailand, Togo, Tunisia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uganda, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Vietnam, Yemen, Zimbabwe.