There was an assassination attempt on Slovakia’s Prime Minister, Robert Fico, on May 15, as he was shot 5 times during a government meeting.

A Real Research survey revealed that 88% of respondents (vaguely aware: 45.82% + completely aware: 42.82%) were aware of the assassination attempt on Slovakia’s prime minister, and 11% were unaware. 

Highlights:

  • 65% of respondents said  Fico’s campaign promises led to the assassination attempt.
  • Two-thirds think the assassination attempt will shape the political landscape of Slovakia and the countries around it.
  • 64% think the shooting will shape the political landscape of Slovakia and the countries around it.

Assassination Attempt on Slovakia’s Prime Minister

The shooting comes three weeks before the European Parliament elections, with polls suggesting that populist and hard-right parties in the 2-nation bloc will make gains. 64% of respondents think this will shape the political landscape of Slovakia and the countries around it, while 36% do not think so.

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Figure 1: Will the assassination shape the political landscape of Slovakia and the countries around it?

Final Elections

Respondents were asked if the assassination attempt on Slovakia’s prime minister would play a role in the final elections.

They responded, “somewhat unlikely” (38.52%), “somewhat likely” (32.32%),  highly likely” (20.26%), and “highly unlikely” (9%). 

Political Resurgence: Fico’s Return to Power in Slovakia

Prime Minister Fico, a seasoned populist, returned to power in Slovakia after last year’s elections, driven by promises to end military aid to Ukraine, oppose Russian sanctions, and advocate against LGBTQ+ rights.

In light of this, 65% of respondents think this led to the shooting, and 35% do not think so.

PMs-promises-led-to-the-shooting
Figure 2: Respondents on whether the PM’s promises led to the shooting

Impact of the Shooting

66% of respondents believe the assassination attempt will have a significant impact on Robert Fico’s leadership and political career, and 34% do not think so.

Robert-Ficos-leadership-and-political-career
Figure 3: Will the assassination attempt significantly affect Robert Fico’s leadership and political career?

Lack of Democracy in Slovakia?

Slovakia’s President, Zuzana Čaputová, confirmed the arrest of the shooting suspect, while Interior Minister Matus Sutaj Estok revealed that the suspect cited opposition to the government and its reforms as motivation for his actions toward law enforcement officers.

64% of respondents believe this reflects a lack of democracy in Slovakia, and 36% do not believe so.

Public Split on Government Transparency Post-Assassination Attempt

Finally, a survey on the assassination attempt on Slovakia’s Prime Minister revealed that 59% of respondents think the Slovakian government is maintaining enough transparency about the assassination attempt, and 41% do not believe so.

Methodology

Survey TitleSurvey On Assassination Attempt On Slovakia’s Prime Minister
DurationMay 20 – May 29, 2024
Number of Participants5,000
DemographicsMales and females, aged 21 to 99
Participating Countries Afghanistan, Algeria, Angola, Argentina, Armenia, Australia, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Belarus, Benin, Bolivia, Brazil, Brunei, Bulgaria, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Cameroon, Canada, Chile, China, China (Hong Kong) China (Macao), China (Taiwan), Colombia, Costa Rica, Croatia, Czech Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Finland, France, Gambia, Georgia, Germany, Ghana, Greece, Greanada, Guatemala, Honduras, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Ivory Coast, Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lebanon, Libya, Lithuania, Malaysia, Maldives, Maluritania, Mexico, Moldova, Mongolia, Morocco, Mozambique, Myanmar [Burma], Namibia, Nepal, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Oman, Pakistan, Palestine, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Singapore, Slovakia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sri Lanka, Tanzania, Thailand, Togo, Tunisia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uganda, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Vietnam, Yemen, Zimbabwe.