Over the past year, former U.S. President Donald Trump has remained in the spotlight for a multitude of reasons. From a series of trials for sexual assault and falsifying business records, among others. Not to mention the release of his NFT collections in 2023 and his decision to stand for the upcoming presidential elections.
Despite his recent scandals, however, Trump is set to stand for the upcoming presidential elections in November. The question is, can Trump win the 2024 U.S. election? Real Research conducted a survey on the political matter to see what people across the world had to say.
Highlights:
- 55.8% agree with Biden’s view that Trump is destroying American democracy
- Campaigners will try to find ways to stop Trump from being the Republican nominee, opined 58.55%
- 56.25% say America is in danger of becoming an autocracy if Trump wins the elections
To start with, the survey revealed that 47.98% were completely aware, 45.2% were vaguely aware, and 6.82% were unaware of the former U.S. president’s plans to run for the upcoming presidential elections.
Moreover, when asked in the survey, a collective 54.65% were seemingly satisfied with Biden’s current presidential tenure, compared to a collective 45.37% who were unsatisfied, possibly hinting that current U.S. president Joe Biden has a chance of re-election in 2024.
Trump’s Presidential Term Could Be the Same as Previous Term
The survey also asked respondents, if elected president again in 2024, would Trump serve better or worse than he did in his previous term? 34.68% felt his term would be the same as his previous term; however, 32.72% opined that his potential upcoming term would be worse than the previous. 32.6%, however, felt that he might serve better.
Trump Is Aiming To Destroy U.S. Democracy–Biden
Biden alleged that Trump and his administration are aiming to destroy American democracy, expressing concerns about the state of the same. In response to Biden’s allegation, Trump says he would prosecute Biden if re-elected.
However, when asked about the same in the survey “Can Trump win the 2024 U.S. election,” 55.8% felt that Biden was right about this, while 30.9% felt that he was somewhat right about Trump destroying the democracy, and 8.33% felt that Biden was probably not right about Trump. Only 4.97% felt Biden was not at all right about Trump and his administration.
Trump’s Tenure Turning America Into a Possible Autocracy?
To make Trump’s case worse, Democrats and Republicans warn that America risks becoming an autocracy if Trump wins the 2024 election. 56.25% somewhat agreed with this, while 27% strongly agreed with it. Whereas, 12.67% somewhat disagreed with the view, and 4.08% strongly disagreed.
Additionally, Trump also became the first U.S. president to be criminally charged. More than half of respondents (55%) in the ‘can Trump win the 2024 U.S. election’ survey predicted that this would probably affect his chances of being reelected. While 26.22% are absolutely sure that this would affect his chances, 15.32%, and 3.47% feel this will probably not and absolutely not affect his chances, respectively.
“No Publicity Is Bad Publicity”
In addition to the criminal charges, Trump created history by also becoming the first-ever U.S. president to be criminally charged and launching a new NFT collection called the “Mugshot Edition,” inspired by his official mugshot. He even sold pieces of the suit he wore at the time of his arrest for the criminal charges.
29.57% felt these were inappropriate political campaigns, while 25.5% felt that it was a marketing gimmick. Furthermore, 23.48% opined that it is an innovative approach, and 21.45% felt, as Trump himself says, “No publicity is bad publicity.”
Trump’s Campaign, Compared to Historical Fascist Dictators
Trump’s 2024 presidential campaign trail has been criticized with comparisons to historical fascist dictators and contemporary populist strongmen. This approach gathered a diverse set of opinions; 27.67% felt that it was concerning and inappropriate for a political leader, while 25.37% felt that it was a strategic move to appeal to certain voters. A further 24.28% suggested that it was an alarming sign of a potential shift towards autocracy, whereas 22.68% suggested that it was a straightforward communication approach.
Can Trump Win The 2024 U.S. Election? Seemingly Unlikely
Given the publicity Trump received, his chances of reelection in the 47th U.S. presidential election remain uncertain. 42.6% in the ‘Can Trump Win the 2024 U.S. Election’ survey suggested that his chances of being reelected are somewhat unlikely, whereas 13.07% felt that it was highly unlikely. Moreover, 26.53% said that it was somewhat likely, and only 17.8% said it was highly likely.
However, 55.53% would like Trump to be reelected in the 2024 U.S. elections, with only as little as 44.47% saying otherwise.
Methodology | |
| Survey Title | Will Donald Trump Become the U.S. President Again? |
| Duration | December 25, 2023 – January 01, 2024 |
| Number of Participants | 6,000 |
| Demographics | Males and females, aged 21 to 99 |
| Participating Countries | Afghanistan, Algeria, Angola, Argentina, Armenia, Australia, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Belarus, Benin, Bolivia,… Brazil, Brunei, Bulgaria, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Cameroon, Canada, Chile, China, China (Hong Kong) China (Macao), China (Taiwan), Colombia, Costa Rica, Croatia, Czech Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Finland, France, Gambia, Georgia, Germany, Ghana, Greece, Greanada, Guatemala, Honduras, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Ivory Coast, Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lebanon, Libya, Lithuania, Malaysia, Maldives, Maluritania, Mexico, Moldova, Mongolia, Morocco, Mozambique, Myanmar [Burma], Namibia, Nepal, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Oman, Pakistan, Palestine, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Singapore, Slovakia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sri Lanka, Tanzania, Thailand, Togo, Tunisia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uganda, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Vietnam, Yemen, Zimbabwe. |
RR Author
Real Research News is the media platform that presents insights and studies of wide-range of topics. It focuses on insights gathered from its survey app.
